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Понедельник, 05.12.2022, 00:43
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Business is not going.

Figure 1.

I'm not sure they will be able to pay dividends until year 23.

Figure 2.

The stock price history is shown in the picture above.

Прикрепления: Картинка 1 ·Картинка 2
Просмотров: 70 | Добавил: Воронноров | Дата: 04.09.2022 | Комментарии (0)

The company does not want to show its report in the usual way, and we have to guess on the coffee grounds about the results.

Now I assume, by indirect evidence, the next dividends for this year will be no more than 7.5 rubles per share.

Figure 1.

This figure does not imply an increase in stock prices.   = 7,5 /9% =83,3

But the market is always in its own dreams.

Now the price ... Читать дальше »

Прикрепления: Картинка 1 ·Картинка 2
Просмотров: 71 | Добавил: Воронноров | Дата: 29.08.2022 | Комментарии (0)

Norilsk Niсkel.

The company has shown a good report, but it will not help us evaluate or present a price perspective.

The gap between the past and the future is insurmountable.

Thus, we are in a space with a maximum speculative component.

If we double the figures in six months, then the history of finance looks like this.

... Читать дальше »

Просмотров: 71 | Добавил: Воронноров | Дата: 22.08.2022 | Комментарии (0)

I have depicted the quotes of Alrosa in this way.

Stocks don't want to keep falling, and that gives room for trading.

I decided to add one indicator. This is the price of the weighted average volume.

Most market participants have Alrosa shares at about this level.

Прикрепления: Картинка 1
Просмотров: 55 | Добавил: Воронноров | Дата: 16.08.2022 | Комментарии (0)

Now, when the market is going to hell, I took the time to assess the losses of my portfolio since the beginning of this year.

The extended formula of the internal rate of return gives 5 percent of loss.

I think I can brag about it.

I want to remember that the bulk of my assets are long-term OFZs.

Просмотров: 48 | Добавил: Воронноров | Дата: 06.08.2022 | Комментарии (0)

I think everyone knows about the restructuring of the electric grid sector.

Of course, this is not very good news for investors who can say goodbye to dividends.

But for traders, this may have better consequences.

Most likely, the purchase price will strive for the average price over the past month and will grow slowly.

Thus, it gives a good tool for trading.

Now it looks like this. ... Читать дальше »

Прикрепления: Картинка 1 ·Картинка 2
Просмотров: 60 | Добавил: Воронноров | Дата: 24.07.2022 | Комментарии (0)

One successful story ended this week. I got out of MTS shares.

This went on for four years when I held at least one stock in my portfolio.

The size of my position in relative numbers can be represented as follows.

Figure 1.

The last number is profit.

Calculating it was not easy, but I did it.

... Читать дальше »

Прикрепления: Картинка 1
Просмотров: 67 | Добавил: Воронноров | Дата: 09.07.2022 | Комментарии (0)

There is nothing to write now. And following this trend, I decided to describe one well-known evaluation method that means nothing. 

This is the "Gordon growth model".

I used to know that this generally accepted method was nonsense and stupidity, but I didn't bother to formulate it.

Now I'll do it.

This model represents the value of the company in the form of an infinite series of future dividends, which are discounted by some required yield.

< ... Читать дальше »

Просмотров: 57 | Добавил: Воронноров | Дата: 05.07.2022 | Комментарии (0)

The percentage curve becomes flat and normalizes.

Picture 1.

This means that the market estimates inflation risks in the near future no more than in the distant future, and believes that the Central Bank rate will be lower. In a sense, we see an average percentage rate for many years, but the current trend is going down.

The weighted average rate, according to the Central Bank, is 8.45 percent for the period from 2013 to 2022, and the weighted average inflation rate for the same period is 6.8%.

... Читать дальше »

Прикрепления: Картинка 1
Просмотров: 58 | Добавил: Воронноров | Дата: 27.06.2022 | Комментарии (0)

The company has announced good dividends, but the future prospects for shareholder welfare are in the fog.

The best report always complies with Russian accounting standards, and even here the problems become obvious.

Free cash flow and dividends have diverged too far, and this does not fit into the usual norms.

Picture 1.

The liquidity of the balance sheet is constantly deteriorating, and financial liabilities are growing.

... Читать дальше »

Просмотров: 78 | Добавил: Воронноров | Дата: 11.06.2022 | Комментарии (0)

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